Via Noam Scheiber, a Deomocratic operative argues that Rove's insistence on running a national campaign will be Bush's downfall Tuesday:

Bush is doing relatively, if modestly, better than to be expected out side of the battlegrounds--even in hardcore Democratic states--because they've been heavily buying national cable since March. And even on cable they've accumulated some real message over all those months. Kerry has done relatively little, though the DNC has done some over the past months. In a place like Hawaii, locals have seen hundreds and hundreds of Bush spots, almost none on the other side. It's not likely, in the end, to matter in terms of electoral votes, but a central tenet of Rove-ism has always been to affect national numbers and create the sense of inevitability.

Just as long as we win both the electoral and the popular vote.