Zogby has Edwards leading Kerry by 5 (30 to 25) % in South Carolina, with Dean and Clark tied in 3rd place at 10%, Sharpton at 7% and Lieberman a point behind him (although I'm sure Joe's campaign would argue that he's in a four-way tie for third place). Kerry is polling with a near majority of the vote in Missouri, with Edwards 35 points behind, Dean 6 behind him at 9%, and Lieberman and Clark tied for 4th (or, in Joe-lingo, a three-way tie for third), with Sharpton a point behind. Clark has just edged ahead of Kerry (28 to 27) in Oklahoma, with Edwards in third at 19%, Lieberman at 7, and Dean at 6. In Arizona, Kerry leads with 40%, with Clark 13 points behind him and Dean 14 points behind Clark; Liberman and Edwards are tied for 4th at 6%. Zogby's predictions: If Kerry wins all four states, you don't need me to tell you what it means. But if Edwards wins in South Carolina and polls strongly enough to win delegates in Missouri and Oklahoma, he has some significant regional strength and can certainly make a case to go on. If Clark wins Oklahoma and comes in a strong second in Arizona, he also can move on -- but it is hard to see where. Dean has already conceded these four states, but winning some delegates in one or two states can help his cause in both Michigan and Wisconsin.
2/02/2004
About Me
- Name: Josh Eidelson
- Location: Sacramento, California, United States
Josh Eidelson received his Bachelor's and Master's Degrees in Political Science from Yale University, where he helped lead the Undergraduate Organizing Committee. He has written about local and national politics as an opinion columnist for the Yale DailyNews, a research fellow for Talking Points Media, and a contributor to CampusProgress.org. Views expressed here are solely his own. Contact: "jeidelson" at "gmail" dot com.
Write
Donate
Links
- American Civil Liberties Union
- American Prospect
- American Rights At Work
- Barbara Ehrenreich
- Campus Progress
- Center for Economic and Policy Research
- Change to Win
- Daily Kos
- David Sirota
- Democracy for America
- Eschaton
- Fairness and Accuracy in Reporting
- Finnegan's Wake
- Greg Palast
- Hyperempathic Politics
- Human Rights Watch
- Immigrant Worker Freedom Rides
- In All My Years
- IndyMedia
- Jewish Labor Committee
- Kensington Welfare Rights Union
- Labour Start
- Left in the West
- Mah Rabu
- MeretzUSA
- Mother Jones
- MoveOn
- MyDD
- National Interfaith Committeee for Worker Justice
- Nathan Newman
- The Nation
- National Gay and Lesbian Task Force
- New Israel Fund
- Progressive States Network
- Progressive Patriots Fund
- Progressive Review
- The Reaction
- SNAPNotes
- Talking Points Memo
- TPM Cafe
- Wal-Mart Watch
- Weapons of Class Instruction
- Working Life
Previous Posts
- The Times follows the heat Kerry is taking over hi...
- Josh Marshall calls Richard Pearl on his mendacity...
- Apparently, the President supports a comission on ...
- George Bush: Supports the war, not the troops.
- Seems the deal the Mayor cut with the New Haven Sa...
- Thomas Benton hints at the danger behind the devel...
- Good news from Israel: Prime Minister Ariel Sha...
- International students in GESO call on President L...
- The New York Times offers today's Op-Ed page to th...
- Matt Bivens poses a hypothetical: Imagine if so...
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home